You will no doubt be aware of the conflict in the Middle East that broke out at the end of February 2026, with the US and Israel launching attacks on Iran and Iran responding with retaliatory attacks across the region.
This included attacks on oil and gas refinery facilities in the Gulf states and ships in the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for the transportation of global oil and other commodities. The outbreak of the conflict caused oil and gas prices to rise and may lead to higher inflation. The toll on human lives from the conflict must also not be overlooked.
How are the markets are reacting?
Equity markets initially reacted to the news by falling and rising as updates about the conflict emerged. Following ongoing discussions to resolve the conflict, equity markets have stabilised and largely recovered. Further developments in the conflict may cause sudden movements in markets (which could be positive or negative) and may impact the value of your pension account. This uncertainty will impact all UK pension schemes.
Considerations
It is important to remember that your pension is a long-term investment; building up your pension savings typically takes place over many years, during this time there will be ups and downs in financial markets. The default strategy, which is the investment option your savings are invested in if you don’t make an active investment choice, is designed to be a long-term investment and provide growth above inflation over the long-term, while managing risk as you get closer to retirement. By investing for long periods of time, the aim is to ‘ride out’ periods of uncertainty and we believe this will result in better expected long term investment growth that can help your savings increase in value.
Are you invested in the default strategy?
If you are invested in the default strategy, the impact of recent market movements on your pension account will depend on your proximity to retirement. It is also important to remember that if you are still investing regularly, your ongoing contributions will be well placed to benefit from any recovery in markets.
More than 15 years to retirement
If you are more than 15 years away from your target retirement age, your pension account is invested mainly in global equities, with a smaller amount invested in UK government bonds, to provide long-term, above inflation growth. You may see more ups and downs in the short term, with the expectation that over the long-term you will receive higher returns, but remember the final value of your pension is not guaranteed.
Less than 15 years to retirement
If you are within 15 years of retirement, your pension account is invested in a mix of global equities, corporate bonds and government bonds. By having a mix of assets, this is expected to reduce the ups and downs in the short term, while still providing above inflation growth over the longer term. This mix gradually changes as you get closer to (and past) your target retirement age and is regularly reviewed by Aon to take account of past performance and changes in market conditions.
Wider fund options
If you have made the decision to invest in one or more of the wider fund options, the impact of recent market movements on your pension account will depend on the fund(s) you have chosen. We encourage you to review your fund selections on a regular basis to make sure they continue to meet your needs. Investment decisions are important, so please consider taking appropriate financial advice to help you make these decisions.
Being aware of scams
Like anything valuable, your pension can become the target for scams, especially in times of uncertainty. Scams can take many forms and often appear to be a legitimate investment opportunity. It is important to protect yourself from pension scams. If you are concerned, or would like to find out more, please visit www.fca.org.uk/scamsmart.
